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Evidence and Gap Maps: A Broader Picture? Lessons from Our Climate Change Adaptation Work

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by Kwadwo Danso-Mensah, Miriam Oppong, Sheila A. Oppong, Clarice Panyin Nyan, Nana Esi Badu-Ansah, Isaac Letsa

Across Africa, climate change is reshaping agricultural systems, livelihoods, and food security. Policymakers, practitioners, and funders are increasingly asking an important question: What adaptation strategies work?

The challenge, however, is not only the lack of evidence but also the difficulty of navigating the vast and fragmented body of existing research. This is where evidence and gap maps (EGMs) become powerful tools.

At the International Centre for Evaluation and Development (ICED), we recently developed an EGM on climate change adaptation interventions for food security and livelihood outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa. This work reinforced just how important EGMs are not only for organizing evidence but also for shaping research, policy, and investment decisions.

From Thousands of Studies to Actionable Evidence

One of the most striking parts of the project was the scale of the evidence landscape.

To develop the map, we screened about 36,000 studies and identified approximately 370 relevant studies, which included impact evaluations, process evaluations, formative evaluations, and systematic reviews.

These studies are now systematically organized within a single platform, allowing users to easily see what interventions have been studied, what outcomes have been measured, where evidence clusters exist, and where critical gaps remain.

Rather than reading hundreds of individual papers, through this platform, users can quickly understand the entire evidence landscape.

PRISMA Flow Diagram of Study Identification and Selection ProcessThe PRISMA flow diagram illustrates the systematic process used to identify, screen, and select studies included in the evidence and gap map. Approximately 36,000 records were screened, resulting in about 370 studies included in the final evidence base.

EGM of Climate Change Adaptation Interventions for Food Security and Livelihood Outcomes in Sub-Saharan AfricaThe evidence and gap map brings together approximately 370 studies identified from a screening of about 36,000 studies. It visually organizes the evidence by intervention types and outcomes, enabling users to quickly identify evidence clusters and research gaps.

Connecting Interventions to Outcomes

Another key part of the work involved developing a theory of change linking climate adaptation interventions to food security and livelihood outcomes.

The EGM maps evidence along this impact chain, showing how adaptation interventions in agricultural systems may influence outcomes such as food security, income, and livelihood resilience.

By organizing evidence around this framework, the map helps move discussions from isolated studies toward a more system-level understanding of adaptation strategies.

Evidence-based Theory of Change Linking Climate Adaptation Interventions to Food Security and Livelihood Outcomes The theory of change illustrates the pathways through which climate change adaptation interventions in agriculture can influence outcomes such as food security, income, and livelihood resilience.

Seeing What Is Studied and What Is Not

One of the most valuable aspects of an EGM is its ability to reveal imbalances in the research landscape. For example, the EGM shows that crop-related adaptation interventions are heavily researched, while other sectors receive far less attention.

A particularly important gap appears in fisheries and aquaculture.

EGM showing the gap in fisheries aquacultureThe evidence and gap map highlights limited evaluation evidence on fisheries and aquaculture adaptation strategies, despite the sector’s importance for the livelihoods of coastal communities in Sub-Saharan Africa.

This is surprising because fisheries and aquaculture play a major role in the livelihoods of many coastal communities across Sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, relatively few studies evaluate how adaptation strategies in these sectors influence food security and livelihood outcomes.

Instead, much of the research focuses on determinants of adaptation, such as why farmers or fishers adopt certain practices rather than evaluating the outcomes of those adaptation actions.

This gap highlights an important opportunity for future research.

Understanding Who Produces the Evidence

Research Collaboration Network in Climate Change Adaptation Studies on Sub-Saharan AfricaNetwork analysis reveals patterns of collaboration among researchers studying climate change adaptation in Sub-Saharan Africa and highlights the extent of regional and international research partnerships.

Another interesting dimension of the project involved conducting a network analysis of research collaborations.

This allowed us to examine who is producing research on climate adaptation in Sub-Saharan Africa and whether studies are led by African researchers or primarily by institutions outside the region.

Understanding these patterns can help inform discussions about knowledge ownership, research partnerships, and capacity strengthening within the region.

Our network analysis shows that Ethiopia (with 53 studies) leads in the geographical distribution of lead authors’ institutional affiliations. This is followed by lead authors from institutions in South Africa (45 studies), Ghana (41 studies), and Kenya (28 studies). Lead authors in institutions based in the USA and Germany also made significant contributions with 25 studies and 24 studies respectively.

Why EGMs Matter for Funders and Policymakers

Evidence and gap maps (EGM) are not just academic exercises. They are decision-supportive tools.

Geographical Distribution of Climate Change Adaptation Studies in Sub-Saharan AfricaThis shows the spatial distribution of studies included in the evidence and gap map, highlighting the countries where climate change adaptation research has been conducted and areas where evidence remains limited.

For funders and policymakers, EGMs help answer several critical questions: Which interventions already have strong evidence and may be ready for scaling? Where are the major evidence gaps that require investment? Which countries or regions have been under-researched? EGM evidence clusters are also a good source for desk reviews, before commencing evaluations of projects.

By making these patterns visible, EGMs allow resources to be directed strategically rather than reactively. They also support the development of additional evidence products such as policy briefs, evidence summaries, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and practitioner toolkits. In this way, EGMs act as foundations for further evidence synthesis and policy engagement.

Turning Evidence Gaps into Research Opportunities

One of the most exciting aspects of this work is the opportunity it creates for collaboration. Communities of practice and researchers, together with funders, can use EGMs to identify priority areas for coordinated research efforts. For example, the gaps identified in fisheries and aquaculture adaptation could inspire new impact evaluations, mixed methods studies, and implementation research. By aligning research agendas with identified evidence gaps, stakeholders can build a stronger and more relevant evidence base for climate adaptation in African food systems.

Looking Ahead

Climate change will continue to reshape livelihoods and agricultural systems across Africa. To respond effectively, decision makers need access to clear and credible evidence, and evidence and gap maps offer a powerful way to bring that evidence together.

For many researchers and practitioners working in evidence synthesis, projects like this reinforce a simple but powerful point: good decisions require good evidence, and good evidence must be organized, understood, and accessible.

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